Leading Indicators and Tendency Surveys

Leading indicators provide early signals of turning points (peaks & troughs) between expansions and slow downs in economic activity. Tendency surveys provide qualitative information from business and consumers on their assessment of the current (and immediate future) economic or financial situation.

This Web site at: www.oecd.org/std/cli-ts

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Composite Leading Indicators signal deepening slowdown in OECD area

07-Nov-2008

OECD composite leading indicators (CLIs) for September 2008 indicate a continued weakening outlook for all the major seven economies, with cyclical slowdowns at levels not seen since the beginning of the decade.

Upcoming changes to the OECD Composite Leading Indicators to be implemented in the December 2008 MEI

07-Nov-2008

Following a methodological and system review, the OECD will change the way it calculates its composite leading indicators (CLI) beginning in December 2008.

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This is a practical manual on the design and implementation of business tendency surveys, on the interpretation of the results from such surveys and on their use for economic analysis and forecasting.

Business Tendency Surveys: A Handbook

The aim of the "OECD - CIRET Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis" is the exchange of knowledge and information on the theory and operation of business and economic cycle research, including both measurement and analytical aspects.

www.oecd.org/std/jbcma